A bank is considering offering a loan of $100,000 to a client. If the loan is not offered, then the bank invests the $100,000 receives a sure payoff from the investment of $200 (i.e., receives...


A bank is considering offering a loan of<br>$100,000 to a client. If the loan is not offered,<br>then the bank invests the $100,000 receives a<br>sure payoff from the investment of $200 (i.e.,<br>receives $100,200 at the end of the year).<br>Prior to a decision of whether or not to offer<br>the loan, the bank can run a credit analysis on<br>the client that returns one of two possible<br>predictions: (1) the client will default on the<br>loan in which case the bank would lose<br>$100,000, (2) the client will pay back the loan<br>with interest in which case the bank receives a<br>payoff of $6,000 (i.e., receives $106,000 at the<br>end of the year). The probability that the<br>credit analysis will return the first prediction<br>(client defaults) is 1%. What is the EVPI?<br>

Extracted text: A bank is considering offering a loan of $100,000 to a client. If the loan is not offered, then the bank invests the $100,000 receives a sure payoff from the investment of $200 (i.e., receives $100,200 at the end of the year). Prior to a decision of whether or not to offer the loan, the bank can run a credit analysis on the client that returns one of two possible predictions: (1) the client will default on the loan in which case the bank would lose $100,000, (2) the client will pay back the loan with interest in which case the bank receives a payoff of $6,000 (i.e., receives $106,000 at the end of the year). The probability that the credit analysis will return the first prediction (client defaults) is 1%. What is the EVPI?

Jun 09, 2022
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