Air pollution control specialists in southern California monitor the amount of ozone, carbondioxide, and nitrogen dioxide in the air on an hourly basis. The hourly time series dataexhibit seasonality,...

Air pollution control specialists in southern California monitor the amount of ozone, carbondioxide, and nitrogen dioxide in the air on an hourly basis. The hourly time series dataexhibit seasonality, with the levels of pollutants showing patterns that vary over the hoursin the day. On July 15, 16, and 17, the following levels of nitrogen dioxide were observedfor the 12 hours from 6:00 A. M. to 6:00 P. M.July 15: 25 28 35 50 60 60 40 35 30 25 25 20July 16: 28 30 35 48 60 65 50 40 35 25 20 20July 17: 35 42 45 70 72 75 60 45 40 25 25 25a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?b. Use the following dummy variables to develop an estimated regression equation to accountfor the seasonal effects in the data.Hour1  1 if the reading was made between 6:00 A.M. and 7:00 A.M.;0 otherwiseHour2  1 if if the reading was made between 7:00 A.M. and 8:00 A.M.;0 otherwise...Hour11  1 if the reading was made between 4:00 P.M. and 5:00 P.M.,0 otherwise.Note that when the values of the 11 dummy variables are equal to 0, the observation correspondsto the 5:00 P.M. to 6:00 P.M. hour.c. Using the estimated regression equation developed in part (a), compute estimates ofthe levels of nitrogen dioxide for July 18.d. Let t  1 to refer to the observation in hour 1 on July 15; t  2 to refer to the observationin hour 2 of July 15; . . . and t  36 to refer to the observation in hour 12 ofJuly 17. Using the dummy variables defined in part (b) and t, develop an estimated regressionequation to account for seasonal effects and any linear trend in the time series.Based upon the seasonal effects in the data and linear trend, compute estimatesof the levels of nitrogen dioxide for July 18.
May 26, 2022
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