Task2.1A new title, "The Art History of Florence", is ready for release. CBC has sent a test mailing to a random sample of 4,000 customers from its customer base. The customer responses have...

hi, answer the first word document questions, I already did some calculations in the second word document you can use to answer the questions in the first. thanks


Task2.1 A new title, "The Art History of Florence", is ready for release. CBC has sent a test mailing to a random sample of 4,000 customers from its customer base. The customer responses have been collated with past purchase data. The data could be randomly partitioned into 3 parts- Training Data : initial data to be used to fit response models, Validation Data : hold-out data used to compare the performance of different response models, and Test Data : data only to be used after a final model has been selected to estimate the likely accuracy of the model when it is deployed. The Sample Data are in file - CharlesBookClub.xls . Each row (or case) in the spreadsheet (other than the header) corresponds to one market test customer. Each column is a variable with the header row giving the name of the variable. The variable names and descriptions are given in Table 1, below. Table 1: List of Variables in CharlesI.xls Identify the target segment of customers to whom you will send the mailers, using Logistic Regression technique of Data Mining; Conduct four trials by selecting variables as follow. For each trial, report the performance information. 1. The full set of 15 predictors as independent variables and "Florence" as the dependent variable, 2. Best subset selection of six variables. Choose six variables that you think are important as independent variables and "Florence" as the dependent variable 3. Change the training data set such that it contains the same number of rows with Florence =1 as those with Florence = 0. Run the full set of 15 predictors as independent variables and "Florence" as the dependent variable 4. For the newly generated training data set, choose six variables that you think are important as independent variables and "Florence" as the dependent variable 5. Select one model from above generated models that you believe to be the best. Apply the model to the test data for prediction, identifying customers who will respond to your mail. The deliverables of this task include the classification matrix for each of the four models, the worksheet with the test data and the prediction from the model, and answers to following questions. 2. When we cut the size of the training data set such that it contains the same number of rows with Florence =1 as those with Florence =0 , what is the impact of this change on the model accuracy. Please explain why. 3. Please explain your choice of the best model for the identification of why you selected the model you selected for the task of identifying customers who will respond. 4. After using the model for prediction, please sort the "test" worksheet in descending order based on a person's probability of responding. Please report the number of responding customers the model recognizes if we set the cutoff probability at 95%, 75%, and 50%. Task 2 Step1: Step2: Step3: Step4: Step5: Step6: Step7: Step8: Step9: Step10: Step11: Step12: Step13: Step14: Step15: Step16: Step17: Step18: Step19: Step20: Step21: Step22: Step23: Step24: separate file Training Data Seq#ID#GenderMRFFirstPurchChildBksYouthBksCookBksDoItYBksRefBksArtBksGeogBksItalCookItalAtlasItalArtFlorenceRelated Purchase 879118714114100000000000 981125210110000000000000 109012406320001000000000 119512752420001000000000 131031268414000000000010 17125122614628212001010002 191271330101038002211000001 211641213212000000000000 24201157212000000000000 252020260341174023501000001 27214017724124000001000001 29225117216116000010000000 31257119428230101000010001 34266131912832211100100001 35267124210532002011000001 37277122316744211102010104 40330021161144322002120106 41333128030234011000010001 42340132028338002001000001 4434711058740111020100001 45353031710328000001100002 52409123330854012202100003 5341112102320010000100001 54436031022532110102000002 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