Assignment 10 Research Paper
Module 10: Research Project
Available as an eText: ISBN 978-0-203-89002-8
Watch the Phillip Tetock lecture on Superforecasting.
Read Tetlock and Gardner.
Write your term paper on Professional Standards in the 21st Century. Detailed instructions and guidelines appear elsewhere in theModule10 section.The research project must be uploaded no later than the last day of classes.
The videoheremay serve as a resource.
Functioning Professionals in the 21st Century LINK:
https://www.entrepreneur.com/article/319267
Phillip Tetlock lecture on Superforecasting LINK:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xBXDTQdmNyw
BAAS 443: Leadership and Management, Analysis, and Application
Research Project Instructions and Guidelines
Project:
ReadSuperforecastingby Tetlock and Gardner. Your research project is to synthesize and apply what you havelearned from the two books and the discussions in this class to management and leadership practices across several different industry sectors Start with these two points:
(A)Susskind and Susskind make a convincing argument for change in the professions but do not offer much in terms of how a knowledge worker can maximize their career success in such an environment.
(B) Tetlock and Gardner introduce a brand new field of study by asking how an ordinary person can become proficient at recognizing change and applying proactive decision-making. plans.Is the superforecaster a profession of the future?
(C) In all likelihood, you will be one of the first professionals to implement this knowledge. Remember specialized knowledge?
Given these points, use your paper to discuss management and leadership practices across several different industry sectors* which will better prepare professionals for success in the future. What sorts of mentoring plans and training opportunities would you suggest for different company cultures (i.e. a small business, a large corporate setting, a governmental organization such as a school district or a police department).What do you, as a manager, owe to your employees?What is the role of professional behavior andbusiness etiquette in such a rapidly-changing environment? What is the role of professional ethics in overseeing a workplace where much of the "work" is being performed by expert systems or AIs? Can you just blame mistakes on the computer? Or would that be unprofessional? Expert systems already provide "advise" to professionals. Who decides about levels of quality in a professional setting dominated by machines?
* e.g. medical, legal, educational, engineering, finance, human services, etc.
Requirements:12 point Times New Roman or Arial font, double spaced, with 1” margins. Paper must be well cited in APA format[1]and include a cover sheet and reference/bibliography sheet at the end of the paper. Paper should be submitted preferably in Microsoft Word 2000 or later.
-Must cite (using APA format)minimum five scholarly sources from an academically accepted source.[2]Your two textbooks should serve as two of your references. If you must use a direct quote from a source, be sure to place it in quotation marks and immediately cite the source with page number.
-First page of document should be title page formatted in APA format (see footnote #1).
-There is no minimum or maximum length. However, covering all the required topics below should equate to approximately 8-12 pages in length (not including reference sheet and title page). It can be longer.
-Feel free to use a company you may already work for to apply the lessons of this class.
-Padding...don't do it. There is no minimum number of pages so please do not pad your paper with extraneous orunnecessarytext elements, extra line spaces, over-sized graphics, or figures.
-Plagiarism… don’t do it. Project will be sent to TurnItIn.
-I am more than happy to look at drafts ahead of time. Just email your draft directly to me with a note requesting a proofing.
General Components:
The following is asuggestedgeneral outline for the paper. Please use this only as aguideline; not aminimum requirement. Please be creative and add sections as you see fit.
-Title Sheet
-Overview/history/vision of the problems defined above
-How do the two works compliment (or contradict) one another?
-Examples of applying Superforecasting in a professional workplace setting.
-Given the changes forecast by Susskind and Susskind, what are:
-the likely results of widespread superforecasting,
-possible downfalls of over-analysis.
-actual implementation of a score-keeping system as proposed by Tetlock and Gardner.
-Imagine a professional setting which combines the principles of both books.
-Conclusion
Work hard and learn!
[1]
Refer tohttps://owl.english.purdue.edu/owl/resource/560/01/for assistance on APA format
[2]
Wikipedia is not an academically acceptable source but it is OK to use Wiki are a starting point to find references (look at the footnotes).